Simulation example
By simulating scenarios clients achieve oversight and insight into complex interdependencies and impacts that may play out over time.
Our research work for Emalahleni — a local municipality in South Africa — is an example of a simulation of three scenarios. The ISCM approach and tools were used to test the impact of the investments on Emalahleni’s sustainability against three different scenarios:
- Maintain the current situation – Identify at which point the municipality is not viable anymore.
- Stop migration through incremental growth.
- Impact of an integrated drive towards investments and job creation.
The model was used to deliver a series of graphs that illustrate a 20-year impact on:
- Job opportunities created
- Unemployed, job seekers, dis-encouraged job seekers
- Reliance on government grants
- Income levels
- Education levels
- Age distribution
- Water, electricity and housing needs
- Profitability of selected industries
- etc.
Emalahleni example: An integrated approach is required to address the socio-economic welfare of the community. This is however complex to comprehend and require a special approach and tools to make sense of the cross impacts over time.
Simulation is also an excellent tool for testing the quality of a strategy and the accompanying implementation journey. Its visual language enables people to “see” the logic of a strategy – in particular, how the pieces of the strategy “play together”.
The subsequent analysis offers perspectives toward resolving the strategic and operational inconsistencies and putting the project onto a sound growth and execution path.
